**Vice President JD Vance’s leading role in recent US-Iran diplomacy underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on a handshake by June 20.** A preliminary memorandum of understanding was virtually signed on June 15 by President Trump, Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, covering an end to the US port blockade, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of nuclear talks. A formal signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Geneva or Switzerland, where Iranian representatives including the foreign minister or speaker are expected to participate alongside US officials. Vance has previously held direct, face-to-face meetings with Iranian counterparts during earlier negotiation rounds in Islamabad and elsewhere, establishing a pattern of personal engagement. The compressed timeline—only four days remain—combined with the confirmed in-person ceremony and ongoing diplomatic momentum makes an additional handshake highly probable in traders’ assessment, though last-minute scheduling shifts or protocol decisions could still intervene.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-20
是
最新
最新
2026-06-20
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Vice President JD Vance’s leading role in recent US-Iran diplomacy underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on a handshake by June 20.**
A preliminary memorandum of understanding was virtually signed on June 15 by President Trump, Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, covering an end to the US port blockade, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of nuclear talks. A formal signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Geneva or Switzerland, where Iranian representatives including the foreign minister or speaker are expected to participate alongside US officials.
Vance has previously held direct, face-to-face meetings with Iranian counterparts during earlier negotiation rounds in Islamabad and elsewhere, establishing a pattern of personal engagement. The compressed timeline—only four days remain—combined with the confirmed in-person ceremony and ongoing diplomatic momentum makes an additional handshake highly probable in traders’ assessment, though last-minute scheduling shifts or protocol decisions could still intervene.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$180結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Vice President JD Vance’s leading role in recent US-Iran diplomacy underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on a handshake by June 20.**
A preliminary memorandum of understanding was virtually signed on June 15 by President Trump, Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, covering an end to the US port blockade, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of nuclear talks. A formal signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Geneva or Switzerland, where Iranian representatives including the foreign minister or speaker are expected to participate alongside US officials.
Vance has previously held direct, face-to-face meetings with Iranian counterparts during earlier negotiation rounds in Islamabad and elsewhere, establishing a pattern of personal engagement. The compressed timeline—only four days remain—combined with the confirmed in-person ceremony and ongoing diplomatic momentum makes an additional handshake highly probable in traders’ assessment, though last-minute scheduling shifts or protocol decisions could still intervene.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
交易量
$195結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Vice President JD Vance’s leading role in recent US-Iran diplomacy underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on a handshake by June 20.** A preliminary memorandum of understanding was virtually signed on June 15 by President Trump, Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, covering an end to the US port blockade, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of nuclear talks. A formal signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Geneva or Switzerland, where Iranian representatives including the foreign minister or speaker are expected to participate alongside US officials. Vance has previously held direct, face-to-face meetings with Iranian counterparts during earlier negotiation rounds in Islamabad and elsewhere, establishing a pattern of personal engagement. The compressed timeline—only four days remain—combined with the confirmed in-person ceremony and ongoing diplomatic momentum makes an additional handshake highly probable in traders’ assessment, though last-minute scheduling shifts or protocol decisions could still intervene.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions