Recent US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues have advanced through electronic signing and mediated talks involving figures such as JD Vance and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with a formal ceremony eyed around June 19. These developments, alongside President Trump's G7 engagements in Europe, center on structured diplomacy rather than personal gestures. The extremely high trader consensus against a hug by June 20 reflects the formal, protocol-driven nature of the process and the absence of any scheduled in-person encounters in the narrow window. A last-minute shift in the signing timeline or an unplanned bilateral moment could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain remote given the emphasis on official channels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-20
是
最新
最新
2026-06-20
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Recent US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues have advanced through electronic signing and mediated talks involving figures such as JD Vance and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with a formal ceremony eyed around June 19. These developments, alongside President Trump's G7 engagements in Europe, center on structured diplomacy rather than personal gestures. The extremely high trader consensus against a hug by June 20 reflects the formal, protocol-driven nature of the process and the absence of any scheduled in-person encounters in the narrow window. A last-minute shift in the signing timeline or an unplanned bilateral moment could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain remote given the emphasis on official channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
交易量
$1,219結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Recent US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues have advanced through electronic signing and mediated talks involving figures such as JD Vance and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with a formal ceremony eyed around June 19. These developments, alongside President Trump's G7 engagements in Europe, center on structured diplomacy rather than personal gestures. The extremely high trader consensus against a hug by June 20 reflects the formal, protocol-driven nature of the process and the absence of any scheduled in-person encounters in the narrow window. A last-minute shift in the signing timeline or an unplanned bilateral moment could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain remote given the emphasis on official channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
交易量
$1,219結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues have advanced through electronic signing and mediated talks involving figures such as JD Vance and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with a formal ceremony eyed around June 19. These developments, alongside President Trump's G7 engagements in Europe, center on structured diplomacy rather than personal gestures. The extremely high trader consensus against a hug by June 20 reflects the formal, protocol-driven nature of the process and the absence of any scheduled in-person encounters in the narrow window. A last-minute shift in the signing timeline or an unplanned bilateral moment could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain remote given the emphasis on official channels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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