Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$1,381,994 交易量
$1,381,994 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,381,994 交易量
$1,381,994 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,381,994結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,381,994結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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