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政治·特朗普

誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？

icon for 誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？
政治·特朗普

誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？

最新
2026-08-01
Polymarket

$29 交易量

Polymarket

JD Vance

$28 交易量

56%

本雅明·納坦雅胡

$17 交易量

46%

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼

$0 交易量

45%

穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒納哈揚

$0 交易量

45%

哈馬德·本·伊薩·阿勒哈利法

$0 交易量

45%

馬可·魯比歐

$0 交易量

44%

米沙勒·艾哈邁德·賈比爾·薩巴赫

$0 交易量

44%

阿卜杜拉二世國王

$0 交易量

44%

馬蘇德·佩澤什基安

$0 交易量

43%

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇

$0 交易量

43%

謝赫巴茲·謝里夫

$0 交易量

43%

史蒂夫·威特科夫

$0 交易量

43%

謝赫塔米姆·本·哈馬德·阿勒薩尼

$0 交易量

43%

雷傑普·塔伊普·艾爾多安

$0 交易量

43%

唐納德·川普

$0 交易量

43%

阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西

$0 交易量

37%

阿里·拉里賈尼

$0 交易量

36%

穆賈塔巴·哈梅內伊

$0 交易量

28%

彼特·赫格塞思

$12 交易量

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 56%, followed by "本雅明·納坦雅胡" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？" is "JD Vance" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "本雅明·納坦雅胡" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將簽署美國x伊朗協議？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.