Skip to main content
icon for 聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？
地緣政治·和平協議

聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？

icon for 聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？
地緣政治·和平協議

聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？

是

60% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

60% 機率
Polymarket
最新
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$421
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,613
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "聯合國安理會決議是否支持在12月31日前達成最終美伊協議？" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？" is "聯合國安理會決議是否支持在12月31日前達成最終美伊協議？" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.