**US and Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement amid the ongoing conflict that began with US-Israel strikes in February.** Recent developments include May reports of negotiators reaching a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, limits on highly enriched uranium, sanctions relief, and further nuclear talks, though final approvals from President Trump and Iranian leadership remained pending. As of June 11-12, Trump announced a “great settlement” reached in principle, canceled planned strikes, and indicated a possible signing ceremony in Europe within days, while stating the naval blockade continues until documents are finalized. Iran has not confirmed acceptance, and prior rounds of indirect talks via Pakistan, Oman, and Qatar produced temporary halts but no comprehensive accord. Key sticking points include uranium disposal methods, sanctions scope, and verification terms. Trader assessments reflect the balance between these high-level diplomatic signals and persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines and mutual concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日
33%
6月22日
43%
6月30日
57%
7月31日
65%
$110 交易量
6月15日
33%
6月22日
43%
6月30日
57%
7月31日
65%
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**US and Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement amid the ongoing conflict that began with US-Israel strikes in February.** Recent developments include May reports of negotiators reaching a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, limits on highly enriched uranium, sanctions relief, and further nuclear talks, though final approvals from President Trump and Iranian leadership remained pending. As of June 11-12, Trump announced a “great settlement” reached in principle, canceled planned strikes, and indicated a possible signing ceremony in Europe within days, while stating the naval blockade continues until documents are finalized. Iran has not confirmed acceptance, and prior rounds of indirect talks via Pakistan, Oman, and Qatar produced temporary halts but no comprehensive accord. Key sticking points include uranium disposal methods, sanctions scope, and verification terms. Trader assessments reflect the balance between these high-level diplomatic signals and persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines and mutual concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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