Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and involving envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, form the core driver of sentiment for meetings by June 30. Recent reports from June 13 indicate the sides are approaching an interim memorandum or broader ceasefire-to-peace framework covering sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and Strait of Hormuz navigation, following the extended April ceasefire. Statements from President Trump and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif signal possible finalization within days, while indirect talks continue amid military posturing. These developments heighten the likelihood of high-level US or third-party diplomatic contact before month-end, though stalled progress or renewed tensions could shift outcomes. Traders weigh confirmed diplomatic momentum against the short timeline and historical negotiation volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$49,320 交易量
2026-06-30
Steve Witkoff
54%
Jared Kushner
47%
J.D. Vance
36%
Marco Rubio
11%
Donald Trump
5%
$49,320 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$10,282 交易量
54%
Jared Kushner
$7,975 交易量
47%
J.D. Vance
$15,640 交易量
36%
Marco Rubio
$6,148 交易量
11%
Donald Trump
$9,274 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and involving envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, form the core driver of sentiment for meetings by June 30. Recent reports from June 13 indicate the sides are approaching an interim memorandum or broader ceasefire-to-peace framework covering sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and Strait of Hormuz navigation, following the extended April ceasefire. Statements from President Trump and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif signal possible finalization within days, while indirect talks continue amid military posturing. These developments heighten the likelihood of high-level US or third-party diplomatic contact before month-end, though stalled progress or renewed tensions could shift outcomes. Traders weigh confirmed diplomatic momentum against the short timeline and historical negotiation volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$49,320結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and involving envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, form the core driver of sentiment for meetings by June 30. Recent reports from June 13 indicate the sides are approaching an interim memorandum or broader ceasefire-to-peace framework covering sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and Strait of Hormuz navigation, following the extended April ceasefire. Statements from President Trump and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif signal possible finalization within days, while indirect talks continue amid military posturing. These developments heighten the likelihood of high-level US or third-party diplomatic contact before month-end, though stalled progress or renewed tensions could shift outcomes. Traders weigh confirmed diplomatic momentum against the short timeline and historical negotiation volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$49,320結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and involving envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, form the core driver of sentiment for meetings by June 30. Recent reports from June 13 indicate the sides are approaching an interim memorandum or broader ceasefire-to-peace framework covering sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and Strait of Hormuz navigation, following the extended April ceasefire. Statements from President Trump and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif signal possible finalization within days, while indirect talks continue amid military posturing. These developments heighten the likelihood of high-level US or third-party diplomatic contact before month-end, though stalled progress or renewed tensions could shift outcomes. Traders weigh confirmed diplomatic momentum against the short timeline and historical negotiation volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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