Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations to end the ongoing conflict have produced a notable shift in tone from President Trump toward Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. On June 4, Trump stated he would be “honored” to meet the Iranian leader if a deal materializes, while separately describing the two sides as “getting along quite well” and noting Khamenei’s direct involvement in approving terms. These comments contrast with Trump’s earlier March remarks labeling the successor “unacceptable” and a “lightweight.” With talks reportedly advancing and a potential meeting framed as conditional on progress, traders appear to view public praise as increasingly plausible before the June 19 deadline, producing the current 59.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-19
是
最新
最新
2026-06-19
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations to end the ongoing conflict have produced a notable shift in tone from President Trump toward Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. On June 4, Trump stated he would be “honored” to meet the Iranian leader if a deal materializes, while separately describing the two sides as “getting along quite well” and noting Khamenei’s direct involvement in approving terms. These comments contrast with Trump’s earlier March remarks labeling the successor “unacceptable” and a “lightweight.”
With talks reportedly advancing and a potential meeting framed as conditional on progress, traders appear to view public praise as increasingly plausible before the June 19 deadline, producing the current 59.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations to end the ongoing conflict have produced a notable shift in tone from President Trump toward Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. On June 4, Trump stated he would be “honored” to meet the Iranian leader if a deal materializes, while separately describing the two sides as “getting along quite well” and noting Khamenei’s direct involvement in approving terms. These comments contrast with Trump’s earlier March remarks labeling the successor “unacceptable” and a “lightweight.”
With talks reportedly advancing and a potential meeting framed as conditional on progress, traders appear to view public praise as increasingly plausible before the June 19 deadline, producing the current 59.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations to end the ongoing conflict have produced a notable shift in tone from President Trump toward Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. On June 4, Trump stated he would be “honored” to meet the Iranian leader if a deal materializes, while separately describing the two sides as “getting along quite well” and noting Khamenei’s direct involvement in approving terms. These comments contrast with Trump’s earlier March remarks labeling the successor “unacceptable” and a “lightweight.” With talks reportedly advancing and a potential meeting framed as conditional on progress, traders appear to view public praise as increasingly plausible before the June 19 deadline, producing the current 59.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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