MrBeast's main-channel releases have established a consistent first-week view trajectory between 50M and 80M, driven by his massive subscriber base and high-production concepts that generate strong initial velocity followed by steady accumulation. The current market heavily favors the 60-70M band because recent comparable videos, including large-cast and milestone-tied drops, have clustered there rather than breaking into higher tiers. The June 2026 500-million-subscriber milestone and associated special have lifted visibility and early engagement, yet trader consensus reflects typical post-launch tapering and competition from platform algorithms, keeping outsized 80M+ outcomes at low implied probability while positioning 50-60M as a realistic secondary scenario if momentum softens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於第1週MrBeast影片的觀看次數?
6000-7000萬 72%
5000萬-6000萬 17.6%
7000-8000萬 7%
4,000-5,000 萬 1.8%
$29,746 交易量
$29,746 交易量
少於四千萬
1%
4,000-5,000 萬
2%
5000萬-6000萬
18%
6000-7000萬
72%
7000-8000萬
7%
8000-9000萬
2%
9,000萬+
<1%
6000-7000萬 72%
5000萬-6000萬 17.6%
7000-8000萬 7%
4,000-5,000 萬 1.8%
$29,746 交易量
$29,746 交易量
少於四千萬
1%
4,000-5,000 萬
2%
5000萬-6000萬
18%
6000-7000萬
72%
7000-8000萬
7%
8000-9000萬
2%
9,000萬+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's main-channel releases have established a consistent first-week view trajectory between 50M and 80M, driven by his massive subscriber base and high-production concepts that generate strong initial velocity followed by steady accumulation. The current market heavily favors the 60-70M band because recent comparable videos, including large-cast and milestone-tied drops, have clustered there rather than breaking into higher tiers. The June 2026 500-million-subscriber milestone and associated special have lifted visibility and early engagement, yet trader consensus reflects typical post-launch tapering and competition from platform algorithms, keeping outsized 80M+ outcomes at low implied probability while positioning 50-60M as a realistic secondary scenario if momentum softens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions