President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$449,888 交易量
2026-06-30
6月18日
94%
6月25日
93%
6月27日
92%
6月10日
94%
6月11日
97%
6月12日
93%
6月13日
93%
6月14日
92%
6月15日
94%
6月16日
92%
6月17日
93%
6月19日
92%
6月20日
92%
6月21日
92%
6月22日
92%
6月23日
92%
6月24日
92%
6月26日
92%
6月28日
93%
6月29日
92%
6月30日
92%
$449,888 交易量
6月18日
$1,597 交易量
94%
6月25日
$146 交易量
93%
6月27日
$150 交易量
92%
6月10日
$13,390 交易量
94%
6月11日
$4,448 交易量
97%
6月12日
$3,480 交易量
93%
6月13日
$1,662 交易量
93%
6月14日
$1,453 交易量
92%
6月15日
$2,835 交易量
94%
6月16日
$284 交易量
92%
6月17日
$813 交易量
93%
6月19日
$232 交易量
92%
6月20日
$190 交易量
92%
6月21日
$2,235 交易量
92%
6月22日
$322 交易量
92%
6月23日
$149 交易量
92%
6月24日
$179 交易量
92%
6月26日
$207 交易量
92%
6月28日
$768 交易量
93%
6月29日
$1,328 交易量
92%
6月30日
$173 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
交易量
$449,888結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$449,888結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal criticisms and insults during his second term, with analyses showing a marked increase in frequency and profanity compared to his first. Recent developments include a June interview on Meet the Press where he directly confronted host Kristen Welker with terms such as “crooked or stupid” before walking off, repeated references to Democrats as “Dumocrats” on social media and in speeches, and targeted remarks toward journalists and political figures. These incidents align with trader assessments on related prediction markets reflecting high probabilities of additional public statements in the near term. Scheduled media appearances, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates could provide further opportunities for such exchanges, though outcomes remain subject to his discretion and external events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions