Persistent damage from the 2022 sabotage of three Nord Stream lines, combined with expired Danish repair permits and EU sanctions blocking infrastructure transactions, underpins the 96.2% trader consensus against resumption before 2027. Europe's accelerated diversification away from Russian pipeline gas since the Ukraine invasion has removed commercial demand, while the European Commission targets a full phase-out of such imports by April 2027. Ongoing conflict diplomacy shows no breakthrough capable of restoring certification or funding repairs. A realistic shift would require a durable ceasefire, sanctions relief, and renewed Baltic Sea approvals—developments that remain distant given current geopolitical constraints and technical hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,541 交易量
$10,541 交易量
2026-12-31
$10,541 交易量
$10,541 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent damage from the 2022 sabotage of three Nord Stream lines, combined with expired Danish repair permits and EU sanctions blocking infrastructure transactions, underpins the 96.2% trader consensus against resumption before 2027. Europe's accelerated diversification away from Russian pipeline gas since the Ukraine invasion has removed commercial demand, while the European Commission targets a full phase-out of such imports by April 2027. Ongoing conflict diplomacy shows no breakthrough capable of restoring certification or funding repairs. A realistic shift would require a durable ceasefire, sanctions relief, and renewed Baltic Sea approvals—developments that remain distant given current geopolitical constraints and technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$10,541結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent damage from the 2022 sabotage of three Nord Stream lines, combined with expired Danish repair permits and EU sanctions blocking infrastructure transactions, underpins the 96.2% trader consensus against resumption before 2027. Europe's accelerated diversification away from Russian pipeline gas since the Ukraine invasion has removed commercial demand, while the European Commission targets a full phase-out of such imports by April 2027. Ongoing conflict diplomacy shows no breakthrough capable of restoring certification or funding repairs. A realistic shift would require a durable ceasefire, sanctions relief, and renewed Baltic Sea approvals—developments that remain distant given current geopolitical constraints and technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,541結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent damage from the 2022 sabotage of three Nord Stream lines, combined with expired Danish repair permits and EU sanctions blocking infrastructure transactions, underpins the 96.2% trader consensus against resumption before 2027. Europe's accelerated diversification away from Russian pipeline gas since the Ukraine invasion has removed commercial demand, while the European Commission targets a full phase-out of such imports by April 2027. Ongoing conflict diplomacy shows no breakthrough capable of restoring certification or funding repairs. A realistic shift would require a durable ceasefire, sanctions relief, and renewed Baltic Sea approvals—developments that remain distant given current geopolitical constraints and technical hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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