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icon for Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

icon for Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

12月 31

12月 31

4% 機率
Polymarket

$148,939 交易量

4% 機率
Polymarket

$148,939 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


交易量
$148,939
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


交易量
$148,939
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" has generated $148.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.