No EU member state has triggered Article 50 procedures, scheduled withdrawal referendums, or advanced credible exit campaigns as of mid-2026, underscoring institutional stability across the 27 members. Trader consensus at 96% for no departure before 2027 reflects this absence of momentum, reinforced by the economic lessons from Brexit that prompted populist parties in France, Italy, the Netherlands, and elsewhere to moderate or sideline such platforms. While the short timeline to 2027 limits feasible paths to completion, realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden domestic political upheavals, severe economic or migration crises prompting a government to invoke Article 50, or rapid coalition realignments in Eurosceptic-leaning states.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於有哪個國家在2027年之前退出歐盟？
有哪個國家在2027年之前退出歐盟？
是
$159,608 交易量
$159,608 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$159,608 交易量
$159,608 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has triggered Article 50 procedures, scheduled withdrawal referendums, or advanced credible exit campaigns as of mid-2026, underscoring institutional stability across the 27 members. Trader consensus at 96% for no departure before 2027 reflects this absence of momentum, reinforced by the economic lessons from Brexit that prompted populist parties in France, Italy, the Netherlands, and elsewhere to moderate or sideline such platforms. While the short timeline to 2027 limits feasible paths to completion, realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden domestic political upheavals, severe economic or migration crises prompting a government to invoke Article 50, or rapid coalition realignments in Eurosceptic-leaning states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
交易量
$159,608結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has triggered Article 50 procedures, scheduled withdrawal referendums, or advanced credible exit campaigns as of mid-2026, underscoring institutional stability across the 27 members. Trader consensus at 96% for no departure before 2027 reflects this absence of momentum, reinforced by the economic lessons from Brexit that prompted populist parties in France, Italy, the Netherlands, and elsewhere to moderate or sideline such platforms. While the short timeline to 2027 limits feasible paths to completion, realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden domestic political upheavals, severe economic or migration crises prompting a government to invoke Article 50, or rapid coalition realignments in Eurosceptic-leaning states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$159,608結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No EU member state has triggered Article 50 procedures, scheduled withdrawal referendums, or advanced credible exit campaigns as of mid-2026, underscoring institutional stability across the 27 members. Trader consensus at 96% for no departure before 2027 reflects this absence of momentum, reinforced by the economic lessons from Brexit that prompted populist parties in France, Italy, the Netherlands, and elsewhere to moderate or sideline such platforms. While the short timeline to 2027 limits feasible paths to completion, realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden domestic political upheavals, severe economic or migration crises prompting a government to invoke Article 50, or rapid coalition realignments in Eurosceptic-leaning states.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions