Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 after Senate confirmation, with his first FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 followed by a press conference. During prior testimony, Warsh questioned the value of holding post-meeting press conferences after every policy decision and signaled preference for fewer communications focused on delivering substantive updates rather than routine repetition. Markets anticipate no rate change at the June meeting but will scrutinize his tone on inflation, employment, the updated Summary of Economic Projections, and any shifts away from prior forward guidance practices. Geopolitical factors and data on growth remain background influences on the policy outlook traders expect him to address.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$29,421 交易量
2026-06-18
Inflation 40+ times
55%
Inflation 50+ times
40%
Inflation 60+ times
25%
Job 15+ times
47%
Jerome / Powell
76%
Trump
19%
Rate / Cut
95%
Money
44%
Good Afternoon
81%
Depression / Recession
45%
Chair
77%
FED
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
Balance Sheet
75%
Dual Mandate
54%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
38%
I Don't Know
49%
Downside
42%
Trend
41%
Stable / Stability
81%
Job Market
65%
Maximum Employment
81%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
32%
Asymmetric
31%
$29,421 交易量
Inflation 40+ times
$185 交易量
55%
Inflation 50+ times
$58 交易量
40%
Inflation 60+ times
$6 交易量
25%
Job 15+ times
$409 交易量
47%
Jerome / Powell
$347 交易量
76%
Trump
$8,391 交易量
19%
Rate / Cut
$358 交易量
95%
Money
$556 交易量
44%
Good Afternoon
$4,611 交易量
81%
Depression / Recession
$2,101 交易量
45%
Chair
$812 交易量
77%
FED
$556 交易量
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$589 交易量
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,162 交易量
11%
Balance Sheet
$262 交易量
75%
Dual Mandate
$82 交易量
54%
Goods Inflation
$1,391 交易量
35%
Stock
$680 交易量
38%
I Don't Know
$1,836 交易量
49%
Downside
$15 交易量
42%
Trend
$643 交易量
41%
Stable / Stability
$994 交易量
81%
Job Market
$793 交易量
65%
Maximum Employment
$578 交易量
81%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$376 交易量
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
$589 交易量
32%
Asymmetric
$1,037 交易量
31%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 after Senate confirmation, with his first FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 followed by a press conference. During prior testimony, Warsh questioned the value of holding post-meeting press conferences after every policy decision and signaled preference for fewer communications focused on delivering substantive updates rather than routine repetition. Markets anticipate no rate change at the June meeting but will scrutinize his tone on inflation, employment, the updated Summary of Economic Projections, and any shifts away from prior forward guidance practices. Geopolitical factors and data on growth remain background influences on the policy outlook traders expect him to address.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$29,421結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 after Senate confirmation, with his first FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 followed by a press conference. During prior testimony, Warsh questioned the value of holding post-meeting press conferences after every policy decision and signaled preference for fewer communications focused on delivering substantive updates rather than routine repetition. Markets anticipate no rate change at the June meeting but will scrutinize his tone on inflation, employment, the updated Summary of Economic Projections, and any shifts away from prior forward guidance practices. Geopolitical factors and data on growth remain background influences on the policy outlook traders expect him to address.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
交易量
$29,421結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair in May 2026 after Senate confirmation, with his first FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 followed by a press conference. During prior testimony, Warsh questioned the value of holding post-meeting press conferences after every policy decision and signaled preference for fewer communications focused on delivering substantive updates rather than routine repetition. Markets anticipate no rate change at the June meeting but will scrutinize his tone on inflation, employment, the updated Summary of Economic Projections, and any shifts away from prior forward guidance practices. Geopolitical factors and data on growth remain background influences on the policy outlook traders expect him to address.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions