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icon for 2026年下任英國外交大臣?

2026年下任英國外交大臣?

icon for 2026年下任英國外交大臣?

2026年下任英國外交大臣?

2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣 23%

韋斯·史崔汀 22%

莉莎·南迪 15%

約翰·希利 10%

Polymarket
最新

2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣 23%

韋斯·史崔汀 22%

莉莎·南迪 15%

約翰·希利 10%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣

2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣

$670 交易量

30%

icon for 韋斯·史崔汀

韋斯·史崔汀

$1,289 交易量

22%

icon for 莉莎·南迪

莉莎·南迪

$374 交易量

15%

icon for 約翰·希利

約翰·希利

$214 交易量

10%

icon for 帕特·麥克法登

帕特·麥克法登

$164 交易量

7%

icon for 大衛·拉米

大衛·拉米

$164 交易量

4%

icon for 沙巴娜·馬哈茂德

沙巴娜·馬哈茂德

$184 交易量

3%

icon for 希拉蕊·班恩

希拉蕊·班恩

$217 交易量

3%

icon for 雷切爾·里夫斯

雷切爾·里夫斯

$221 交易量

3%

icon for 達倫·瓊斯

達倫·瓊斯

$2,165 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,664
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,664
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年下任英國外交大臣?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣" at 30%, followed by "韋斯·史崔汀" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年下任英國外交大臣?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年下任英國外交大臣?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年下任英國外交大臣?" is "2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "韋斯·史崔汀" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年下任英國外交大臣?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.