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icon for 由……任命的下一任英國首相？
政治·Starmer

由……任命的下一任英國首相？

icon for 由……任命的下一任英國首相？
政治·Starmer

由……任命的下一任英國首相？

最新

$29,315 交易量

2026-07-19
Polymarket

$29,315 交易量

Polymarket

7月19日

$9,024 交易量

74%

7月31日

$8,299 交易量

86%

9月30日

$11,993 交易量

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keir Starmer announced his resignation as UK Prime Minister on June 22, 2026, after Labour’s heavy losses in the May local elections and growing internal party pressure. Andy Burnham’s decisive victory in the June 18 Makerfield by-election returned him to Parliament and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the impending Labour leadership contest. Traders price Burnham highest because the governing party’s internal rules and parliamentary arithmetic favor a swift transition to a candidate who already holds a seat and commands broad support among MPs. The process, which begins with nominations around July 9 and aims to conclude before the September parliamentary session, will lead to the new leader being formally appointed by the King. Other potential contenders trail significantly, as none currently match Burnham’s near-term path to the premiership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,315
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keir Starmer announced his resignation as UK Prime Minister on June 22, 2026, after Labour’s heavy losses in the May local elections and growing internal party pressure. Andy Burnham’s decisive victory in the June 18 Makerfield by-election returned him to Parliament and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the impending Labour leadership contest. Traders price Burnham highest because the governing party’s internal rules and parliamentary arithmetic favor a swift transition to a candidate who already holds a seat and commands broad support among MPs. The process, which begins with nominations around July 9 and aims to conclude before the September parliamentary session, will lead to the new leader being formally appointed by the King. Other potential contenders trail significantly, as none currently match Burnham’s near-term path to the premiership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,315
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"由……任命的下一任英國首相？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "9月30日" at 97%, followed by "7月31日" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "由……任命的下一任英國首相？" has generated $29.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "由……任命的下一任英國首相？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "由……任命的下一任英國首相？" is "9月30日" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7月31日" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "由……任命的下一任英國首相？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.