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icon for 史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

icon for 史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

最新

$21,032 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$21,032 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$1,817 交易量

2%

July 17

$11,211 交易量

53%

July 31

$8,004 交易量

88%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Starmer announced his resignation as Labour leader and prime minister on 22 June 2026 amid internal party pressure and persistently low approval ratings.** He will remain as caretaker PM until a successor is chosen through an accelerated leadership contest, with nominations opening 9 July, hustings concluding by 16 July, and a new leader expected before Parliament returns in early September. This timeline, triggered by Labour’s recent electoral setbacks and dissatisfaction among MPs, sets the primary window for his formal departure from office. Traders are assessing the speed of the transition process and any potential delays from party procedures or candidate challenges, against the backdrop of historical patterns for UK leadership handovers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$21,032
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Starmer announced his resignation as Labour leader and prime minister on 22 June 2026 amid internal party pressure and persistently low approval ratings.** He will remain as caretaker PM until a successor is chosen through an accelerated leadership contest, with nominations opening 9 July, hustings concluding by 16 July, and a new leader expected before Parliament returns in early September. This timeline, triggered by Labour’s recent electoral setbacks and dissatisfaction among MPs, sets the primary window for his formal departure from office. Traders are assessing the speed of the transition process and any potential delays from party procedures or candidate challenges, against the backdrop of historical patterns for UK leadership handovers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$21,032
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"史塔默正式離任時間是… ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 31" at 88%, followed by "July 17" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "史塔默正式離任時間是… ?" has generated $21K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "史塔默正式離任時間是… ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "史塔默正式離任時間是… ?" is "July 31" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 17" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "史塔默正式離任時間是… ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.