Skip to main content
icon for 伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？
政治·英國勞工領導力

伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？

icon for 伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？
政治·英國勞工領導力

伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？

是

87% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

87% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments following Keir Starmer’s resignation on 22 June 2026 have positioned Andy Burnham as the frontrunner after his decisive Makerfield by-election win. Wes Streeting quickly endorsed Burnham and withdrew from contention, while Burnham secured backing from more than 200 Labour MPs—well above the 81-nomination threshold. This momentum has fueled trader expectations of a possible coronation. However, the narrow 50.5% probability on “No” reflects residual uncertainty, as some MPs have signaled preference for a contested ballot to enable policy scrutiny and strengthen legitimacy. Potential entry by other figures, shifts in nomination momentum, or formal declarations ahead of the July nomination window could alter the balance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held.

If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”.

The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$5,223
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments following Keir Starmer’s resignation on 22 June 2026 have positioned Andy Burnham as the frontrunner after his decisive Makerfield by-election win. Wes Streeting quickly endorsed Burnham and withdrew from contention, while Burnham secured backing from more than 200 Labour MPs—well above the 81-nomination threshold. This momentum has fueled trader expectations of a possible coronation. However, the narrow 50.5% probability on “No” reflects residual uncertainty, as some MPs have signaled preference for a contested ballot to enable policy scrutiny and strengthen legitimacy. Potential entry by other figures, shifts in nomination momentum, or formal declarations ahead of the July nomination window could alter the balance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held.

If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”.

The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$5,223
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年工黨領袖選舉中，伯納姆是否無對手？" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？" is "2026年工黨領袖選舉中，伯納姆是否無對手？" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.