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icon for 紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?

紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?

icon for 紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?

紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?

160-179 78%

140-159 74%

200+ 72%

180-199 69%

Polymarket
最新

160-179 78%

140-159 74%

200+ 72%

180-199 69%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$60 交易量

24%

20-39

$59 交易量

43%

40-59

$0 交易量

41%

60-79

$0 交易量

38%

80-99

$0 交易量

6%

100-119

$74 交易量

4%

120-139

$129 交易量

33%

140-159

$109 交易量

74%

160-179

$109 交易量

78%

180-199

$109 交易量

69%

200+

$109 交易量

72%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani's social media activity as NYC mayor reflects a pattern of frequent engagement established during his 2025 campaign, where digital posts helped mobilize younger voters and shape public messaging on issues like housing and public safety. With no major fixed events dominating the June 26–July 3 window, trader consensus remains closely bunched across posting bins because volume hinges on unpredictable catalysts such as city emergencies, policy rollouts, or holiday timing around Independence Day weekend. Routine administrative updates or responses to ongoing challenges like extreme heat could drive higher output, while a quieter period focused on internal briefings might keep totals lower, leaving separation dependent on real-time developments in the final days before the market resolves.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$757
結束日期
2026-07-03
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani's social media activity as NYC mayor reflects a pattern of frequent engagement established during his 2025 campaign, where digital posts helped mobilize younger voters and shape public messaging on issues like housing and public safety. With no major fixed events dominating the June 26–July 3 window, trader consensus remains closely bunched across posting bins because volume hinges on unpredictable catalysts such as city emergencies, policy rollouts, or holiday timing around Independence Day weekend. Routine administrative updates or responses to ongoing challenges like extreme heat could drive higher output, while a quieter period focused on internal briefings might keep totals lower, leaving separation dependent on real-time developments in the final days before the market resolves.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$757
結束日期
2026-07-03
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 43%, followed by "40-59" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?" is "20-39" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市市長#職位2026年6月26日至7月3日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.