Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於80-99 26%
100-119 23%
120-139 22%
140-159 17%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
26%
100-119
23%
120-139
22%
140-159
17%
160-179
14%
180-199
11%
200+
10%
80-99 26%
100-119 23%
120-139 22%
140-159 17%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
26%
100-119
23%
120-139
22%
140-159
17%
160-179
14%
180-199
11%
200+
10%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions