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icon for 哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?

哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?

icon for 哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?

哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?

最新
2026-06-30
Polymarket

$4,841 交易量

Polymarket

巴基斯坦

$1,021 交易量

52%

卡塔爾

$200 交易量

42%

阿曼

$400 交易量

20%

埃及

$50 交易量

19%

土耳其

$265 交易量

18%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$527 交易量

17%

黎巴嫩

$264 交易量

13%

約旦

$210 交易量

10%

科威特

$901 交易量

7%

敘利亞

$373 交易量

6%

以色列

$631 交易量

5%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent framework agreement between the United States and Iran, reached around June 14-15, 2026, centers on a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lifting aspects of the U.S. naval blockade, and advancing nuclear program talks, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. Pakistan served as a key mediator, and the memorandum of understanding (MoU) has seen some virtual endorsements by U.S. and Iranian officials, though the full text remains unpublished and interpretations diverge on issues such as sanctions relief, asset releases, and long-term enforcement. Other nations involved in prior mediation or regional diplomacy, including Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt, could participate in broader endorsements or related commitments ahead of the June 30 cutoff, while European states and Gulf actors have signaled interest in verifiable compliance steps. Trader assessments reflect the tight timeline, procedural ambiguities around signatories, and potential for additional parties to join or abstain based on the Geneva proceedings and follow-on negotiations.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,841
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent framework agreement between the United States and Iran, reached around June 14-15, 2026, centers on a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lifting aspects of the U.S. naval blockade, and advancing nuclear program talks, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. Pakistan served as a key mediator, and the memorandum of understanding (MoU) has seen some virtual endorsements by U.S. and Iranian officials, though the full text remains unpublished and interpretations diverge on issues such as sanctions relief, asset releases, and long-term enforcement. Other nations involved in prior mediation or regional diplomacy, including Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt, could participate in broader endorsements or related commitments ahead of the June 30 cutoff, while European states and Gulf actors have signaled interest in verifiable compliance steps. Trader assessments reflect the tight timeline, procedural ambiguities around signatories, and potential for additional parties to join or abstain based on the Geneva proceedings and follow-on negotiations.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,841
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "巴基斯坦" at 52%, followed by "卡塔爾" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?" is "巴基斯坦" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡塔爾" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家將在6月30日前簽署美國x伊朗協議?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.