The recent framework agreement between the United States and Iran, reached around June 14-15, 2026, centers on a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lifting aspects of the U.S. naval blockade, and advancing nuclear program talks, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. Pakistan served as a key mediator, and the memorandum of understanding (MoU) has seen some virtual endorsements by U.S. and Iranian officials, though the full text remains unpublished and interpretations diverge on issues such as sanctions relief, asset releases, and long-term enforcement. Other nations involved in prior mediation or regional diplomacy, including Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt, could participate in broader endorsements or related commitments ahead of the June 30 cutoff, while European states and Gulf actors have signaled interest in verifiable compliance steps. Trader assessments reflect the tight timeline, procedural ambiguities around signatories, and potential for additional parties to join or abstain based on the Geneva proceedings and follow-on negotiations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴基斯坦
52%
卡塔爾
42%
阿曼
20%
埃及
19%
土耳其
18%
沙烏地阿拉伯
17%
黎巴嫩
13%
約旦
10%
科威特
7%
敘利亞
6%
以色列
5%
$4,841 交易量
巴基斯坦
52%
卡塔爾
42%
阿曼
20%
埃及
19%
土耳其
18%
沙烏地阿拉伯
17%
黎巴嫩
13%
約旦
10%
科威特
7%
敘利亞
6%
以色列
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The recent framework agreement between the United States and Iran, reached around June 14-15, 2026, centers on a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lifting aspects of the U.S. naval blockade, and advancing nuclear program talks, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. Pakistan served as a key mediator, and the memorandum of understanding (MoU) has seen some virtual endorsements by U.S. and Iranian officials, though the full text remains unpublished and interpretations diverge on issues such as sanctions relief, asset releases, and long-term enforcement. Other nations involved in prior mediation or regional diplomacy, including Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt, could participate in broader endorsements or related commitments ahead of the June 30 cutoff, while European states and Gulf actors have signaled interest in verifiable compliance steps. Trader assessments reflect the tight timeline, procedural ambiguities around signatories, and potential for additional parties to join or abstain based on the Geneva proceedings and follow-on negotiations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions