**Recent diplomatic developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached amid the ongoing conflict.** As of mid-June 2026, the framework—brokered with Pakistani mediation—extends the ceasefire for 60 days, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launches further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues. President Trump and Iranian officials have publicly described the MOU as complete, with announcements that it was signed electronically or virtually by Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf. Reports explicitly note virtual execution rather than an in-person ceremony, alongside indications that the text may be forwarded to Congress for review rather than finalized through a traditional physical signing. These factors—electronic execution of the initial accord, the 60-day negotiation window for unresolved matters, and absence of scheduled in-person ceremonies—drive trader consensus toward a low probability of Trump personally affixing a physical signature to any US-Iran agreement. The market reflects this procedural reality and timeline uncertainty in real-money assessments of near-term outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached amid the ongoing conflict.**
As of mid-June 2026, the framework—brokered with Pakistani mediation—extends the ceasefire for 60 days, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launches further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues. President Trump and Iranian officials have publicly described the MOU as complete, with announcements that it was signed electronically or virtually by Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf. Reports explicitly note virtual execution rather than an in-person ceremony, alongside indications that the text may be forwarded to Congress for review rather than finalized through a traditional physical signing.
These factors—electronic execution of the initial accord, the 60-day negotiation window for unresolved matters, and absence of scheduled in-person ceremonies—drive trader consensus toward a low probability of Trump personally affixing a physical signature to any US-Iran agreement. The market reflects this procedural reality and timeline uncertainty in real-money assessments of near-term outcomes.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$3,270結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached amid the ongoing conflict.**
As of mid-June 2026, the framework—brokered with Pakistani mediation—extends the ceasefire for 60 days, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launches further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues. President Trump and Iranian officials have publicly described the MOU as complete, with announcements that it was signed electronically or virtually by Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf. Reports explicitly note virtual execution rather than an in-person ceremony, alongside indications that the text may be forwarded to Congress for review rather than finalized through a traditional physical signing.
These factors—electronic execution of the initial accord, the 60-day negotiation window for unresolved matters, and absence of scheduled in-person ceremonies—drive trader consensus toward a low probability of Trump personally affixing a physical signature to any US-Iran agreement. The market reflects this procedural reality and timeline uncertainty in real-money assessments of near-term outcomes.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,270結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent diplomatic developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached amid the ongoing conflict.** As of mid-June 2026, the framework—brokered with Pakistani mediation—extends the ceasefire for 60 days, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launches further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues. President Trump and Iranian officials have publicly described the MOU as complete, with announcements that it was signed electronically or virtually by Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf. Reports explicitly note virtual execution rather than an in-person ceremony, alongside indications that the text may be forwarded to Congress for review rather than finalized through a traditional physical signing. These factors—electronic execution of the initial accord, the 60-day negotiation window for unresolved matters, and absence of scheduled in-person ceremonies—drive trader consensus toward a low probability of Trump personally affixing a physical signature to any US-Iran agreement. The market reflects this procedural reality and timeline uncertainty in real-money assessments of near-term outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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