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icon for 誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？
地緣政治·美國x伊朗

誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？

icon for 誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？
地緣政治·美國x伊朗

誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？

最新
2026-07-07
Polymarket

$7,863 交易量

Polymarket

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇

$211 交易量

90%

塔米姆·本·哈馬德·阿勒薩尼酋長

$0 交易量

43%

夏巴茲·謝里夫

$565 交易量

75%

Steve Witkoff

$147 交易量

79%

馬蘇德·佩澤什基安

$279 交易量

13%

阿卜杜拉二世國王

$830 交易量

11%

米沙勒·艾哈邁德·賈比爾·薩巴赫

$322 交易量

22%

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼

$805 交易量

4%

馬可·魯比奧

$350 交易量

8%

哈馬德·本·伊薩·阿勒哈利法

$224 交易量

40%

穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒納哈揚

$156 交易量

20%

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$503 交易量

2%

阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西

$331 交易量

14%

穆賈巴·哈梅內伊

$518 交易量

2%

Pete Hegseth

$376 交易量

5%

雷傑普·塔伊普·艾爾多安

$280 交易量

22%

JD Vance

$494 交易量

86%

唐納德·特朗普

$1,135 交易量

10%

賈里德·庫什納

$100 交易量

72%

埃隆·馬斯克

$260 交易量

2%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14-15, 2026, to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. The formal signing ceremony is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, Switzerland, after electronic signatures were already completed by President Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Pakistan and Qatar mediated the process. Vance has signaled he expects to attend or lead the US side, while Trump remains at the G7 summit; exact US and Iranian delegations remain fluid pending final coordination. The event marks a framework step rather than a comprehensive accord, with unresolved issues including enrichment levels and verification.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,863
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14-15, 2026, to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. The formal signing ceremony is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, Switzerland, after electronic signatures were already completed by President Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Pakistan and Qatar mediated the process. Vance has signaled he expects to attend or lead the US side, while Trump remains at the G7 summit; exact US and Iranian delegations remain fluid pending final coordination. The event marks a framework step rather than a comprehensive accord, with unresolved issues including enrichment levels and verification.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,863
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇" at 90%, followed by "JD Vance" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" is "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "JD Vance" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.