Skip to main content
icon for Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？

Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？

icon for Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？

Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？

$935,249 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$935,249 交易量

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$935,167 交易量

4%

2027 年 6 月 30 日

$1 交易量

54%

2027 年 12 月 31 日

$81 交易量

68%

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Recent delays and shifting timelines have kept trader sentiment cautious on the Doge-1 lunar cubesat, a crypto-funded SpaceX rideshare payload originally tied to Intuitive Machines missions. Official project updates now target a September 13-14, 2026 launch window on a Falcon 9, yet Elon Musk’s February remarks pointing toward a potential 2027 slip continue to weigh on probabilities. Historical postponements, integration risks with the host rocket, and the mission’s meme-driven origins add layers of uncertainty, even as the team highlights final readiness reviews and optimal lunar alignment. Upcoming SpaceX manifest clarity and any last-minute regulatory or technical hurdles will likely drive the next moves in aggregated trader consensus.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
交易量
$935,249
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Recent delays and shifting timelines have kept trader sentiment cautious on the Doge-1 lunar cubesat, a crypto-funded SpaceX rideshare payload originally tied to Intuitive Machines missions. Official project updates now target a September 13-14, 2026 launch window on a Falcon 9, yet Elon Musk’s February remarks pointing toward a potential 2027 slip continue to weigh on probabilities. Historical postponements, integration risks with the host rocket, and the mission’s meme-driven origins add layers of uncertainty, even as the team highlights final readiness reviews and optimal lunar alignment. Upcoming SpaceX manifest clarity and any last-minute regulatory or technical hurdles will likely drive the next moves in aggregated trader consensus.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
交易量
$935,249
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

相關

icon for 歐元/美元在2026年會跌至1.12（低點）嗎？

歐元/美元在2026年會跌至1.12（低點）嗎？

44%
是
icon for 共和黨候選人會以6%-9%的差距贏得2026年德州州長選舉嗎？

共和黨候選人會以6%-9%的差距贏得2026年德州州長選舉嗎？

24%
是
icon for 在12月31日前又有一個馬斯克寶寶？

在12月31日前又有一個馬斯克寶寶？

19%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027 年 12 月 31 日" at 68%, followed by "2027 年 6 月 30 日" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？" has generated $935.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？" is "2027 年 12 月 31 日" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2027 年 6 月 30 日" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Doge-1月球任務會在...前發射嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.