The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 交易量
$48,076 交易量
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 交易量
$48,076 交易量
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions