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科技·商務

2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？

icon for 2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？
科技·商務

2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？

6月 30

6月 30

40萬–42.5萬 27.0%

375,000–400,000 23%

425,000–450,000 22%

45萬–47.5萬 18.7%

Polymarket

$43,484 交易量

40萬–42.5萬 27.0%

375,000–400,000 23%

425,000–450,000 22%

45萬–47.5萬 18.7%

Polymarket

$43,484 交易量

少於30萬

$5,342 交易量

1%

30萬–32.5萬

$3,167 交易量

1%

325k–350k

$3,301 交易量

4%

35萬–37.5萬

$7,738 交易量

17%

375,000–400,000

$4,158 交易量

30%

40萬–42.5萬

$8,391 交易量

27%

425,000–450,000

$4,472 交易量

22%

45萬–47.5萬

$3,349 交易量

16%

47.5萬+

$3,566 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent Q1 2026 Tesla deliveries of 358,023 vehicles, coupled with elevated inventory, have anchored trader expectations for modest sequential gains in the current quarter. Analyst consensus clusters around 390,000–420,000 units, reflecting improved China exports and European registrations offset by intensifying competition from legacy automakers and softening U.S. EV demand. Production capacity at Gigafactories supports upside potential, while the early Cybercab robotaxi ramp and planned Model S/X production wind-down add limited near-term volume. With the 375k–400k and 400k–425k bands nearly tied, market-implied odds capture this balanced uncertainty ahead of the early-July delivery report.

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
交易量
$43,484
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Recent Q1 2026 Tesla deliveries of 358,023 vehicles, coupled with elevated inventory, have anchored trader expectations for modest sequential gains in the current quarter. Analyst consensus clusters around 390,000–420,000 units, reflecting improved China exports and European registrations offset by intensifying competition from legacy automakers and softening U.S. EV demand. Production capacity at Gigafactories supports upside potential, while the early Cybercab robotaxi ramp and planned Model S/X production wind-down add limited near-term volume. With the 375k–400k and 400k–425k bands nearly tied, market-implied odds capture this balanced uncertainty ahead of the early-July delivery report.

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
交易量
$43,484
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "375,000–400,000" at 30%, followed by "40萬–42.5萬" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？" has generated $43.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？" is "375,000–400,000" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40萬–42.5萬" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年第二季度特斯拉交付了多少輛車？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.