Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases, with the prior model expected in fall 2025, drives the overwhelming market consensus for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company maintains a predictable September announcement window supported by stable supply chains, ongoing semiconductor development, and incremental hardware advancements such as improved AI integration in its large language model features. No official statements or credible supply reports indicate delays or cancellations. While major disruptions like severe component shortages or unforeseen regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timing, historical precedent shows Apple rarely deviates from its cadence, leaving little room for alternative outcomes before the typical reveal period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
98% 機率
$173,131 交易量
$173,131 交易量
2026-12-31
是
98% 機率
$173,131 交易量
$173,131 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases, with the prior model expected in fall 2025, drives the overwhelming market consensus for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company maintains a predictable September announcement window supported by stable supply chains, ongoing semiconductor development, and incremental hardware advancements such as improved AI integration in its large language model features. No official statements or credible supply reports indicate delays or cancellations. While major disruptions like severe component shortages or unforeseen regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timing, historical precedent shows Apple rarely deviates from its cadence, leaving little room for alternative outcomes before the typical reveal period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
交易量
$173,131結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases, with the prior model expected in fall 2025, drives the overwhelming market consensus for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company maintains a predictable September announcement window supported by stable supply chains, ongoing semiconductor development, and incremental hardware advancements such as improved AI integration in its large language model features. No official statements or credible supply reports indicate delays or cancellations. While major disruptions like severe component shortages or unforeseen regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timing, historical precedent shows Apple rarely deviates from its cadence, leaving little room for alternative outcomes before the typical reveal period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$173,131結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases, with the prior model expected in fall 2025, drives the overwhelming market consensus for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company maintains a predictable September announcement window supported by stable supply chains, ongoing semiconductor development, and incremental hardware advancements such as improved AI integration in its large language model features. No official statements or credible supply reports indicate delays or cancellations. While major disruptions like severe component shortages or unforeseen regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timing, historical precedent shows Apple rarely deviates from its cadence, leaving little room for alternative outcomes before the typical reveal period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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