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科技·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
科技·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

12月 31

12月 31

$14,369 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$14,369 交易量

Polymarket

Tampa, FL

$1,629 交易量

89%

Las Vegas, NV

$1,704 交易量

85%

San Diego, CA

$531 交易量

84%

Charlotte, NC

$75 交易量

61%

Sacramento, CA

$387 交易量

53%

St. Louis, MO

$0 交易量

49%

Detroit, MI

$95 交易量

47%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 交易量

46%

Baltimore, MD

$477 交易量

32%

New York, NY

$399 交易量

35%

Washington, DC

$1,107 交易量

22%

Minneapolis, MN

$1,481 交易量

21%

Seattle, WA

$76 交易量

18%

Portland, OR

$2,295 交易量

11%

Boston, MA

$2,905 交易量

10%

Denver, CO

$209 交易量

57%

Pittsburgh, PA

$104 交易量

57%

New Orleans, LA

$61 交易量

50%

Chicago, IL

$742 交易量

34%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 交易量

41%

London, UK

$74 交易量

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 expansion, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and proven driverless operations in core markets like San Francisco and Phoenix, is the main driver behind trader sentiment on new city launches by year-end. The company has initiated or completed commercial robotaxi service in multiple additional cities including Miami, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa following regulatory clearances and fleet scaling. Plans also target Detroit, Nashville, Washington DC, plus initial international entries in London and Tokyo testing. Key near-term catalysts include further state-level approvals, supply chain capacity for the new Ojai vehicle, and competitive pressure from rivals like Zoox. Uncertainties around edge-case handling in varied geographies and permitting timelines could still shift outcomes for marginal markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,369
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 expansion, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and proven driverless operations in core markets like San Francisco and Phoenix, is the main driver behind trader sentiment on new city launches by year-end. The company has initiated or completed commercial robotaxi service in multiple additional cities including Miami, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa following regulatory clearances and fleet scaling. Plans also target Detroit, Nashville, Washington DC, plus initial international entries in London and Tokyo testing. Key near-term catalysts include further state-level approvals, supply chain capacity for the new Ojai vehicle, and competitive pressure from rivals like Zoox. Uncertainties around edge-case handling in varied geographies and permitting timelines could still shift outcomes for marginal markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,369
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa, FL" at 89%, followed by "Las Vegas, NV" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "Tampa, FL" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Las Vegas, NV" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.