SpaceX's official SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX have anchored trader consensus at a 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company's record-scale IPO, targeting over $1.7 trillion valuation, aligns with Nasdaq's recent rule adjustments that fast-track qualifying large-cap listings into the index within roughly 15 days of debut. This setup reflects aggregated trader sentiment on streamlined index mechanics and the company's size, though realistic risks such as last-minute pricing delays, market volatility, or unexpected regulatory scrutiny on the listing process could still shift outcomes before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's official SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX have anchored trader consensus at a 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company's record-scale IPO, targeting over $1.7 trillion valuation, aligns with Nasdaq's recent rule adjustments that fast-track qualifying large-cap listings into the index within roughly 15 days of debut. This setup reflects aggregated trader sentiment on streamlined index mechanics and the company's size, though realistic risks such as last-minute pricing delays, market volatility, or unexpected regulatory scrutiny on the listing process could still shift outcomes before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
交易量
$514結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's official SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX have anchored trader consensus at a 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company's record-scale IPO, targeting over $1.7 trillion valuation, aligns with Nasdaq's recent rule adjustments that fast-track qualifying large-cap listings into the index within roughly 15 days of debut. This setup reflects aggregated trader sentiment on streamlined index mechanics and the company's size, though realistic risks such as last-minute pricing delays, market volatility, or unexpected regulatory scrutiny on the listing process could still shift outcomes before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
交易量
$514結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's official SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX have anchored trader consensus at a 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company's record-scale IPO, targeting over $1.7 trillion valuation, aligns with Nasdaq's recent rule adjustments that fast-track qualifying large-cap listings into the index within roughly 15 days of debut. This setup reflects aggregated trader sentiment on streamlined index mechanics and the company's size, though realistic risks such as last-minute pricing delays, market volatility, or unexpected regulatory scrutiny on the listing process could still shift outcomes before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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