SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$150-$200 50%
100美元-150美元 30%
$200-$250 13%
250美元以上 4%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
低於 100 美元
2%
100美元-150美元
30%
$150-$200
50%
$200-$250
13%
250美元以上
4%
2028年前不會上市
1%
$150-$200 50%
100美元-150美元 30%
$200-$250 13%
250美元以上 4%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
低於 100 美元
$244 交易量
2%
100美元-150美元
$390 交易量
30%
$150-$200
$68 交易量
50%
$200-$250
$12 交易量
13%
250美元以上
$25 交易量
4%
2028年前不會上市
$635 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
交易量
$1,374結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,374結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions