Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the Iran-Israel conflict and restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in June 2026. These developments have curtailed Middle East production by more than 11 million barrels per day relative to pre-conflict levels, triggering sharp global inventory draws and supporting elevated spot prices near $85–$100 per barrel amid heightened volatility. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $105 per barrel in June and July under assumptions of sustained disruptions, though demand has contracted due to high fuel costs. Potential catalysts include progress on U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks or incremental Hormuz reopenings, which could ease supply constraints and pressure prices lower later in the quarter as inventories stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,629,537 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ 85美元
81%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
20%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
6%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
$2,629,537 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ 85美元
81%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
20%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
6%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市場開放時間: May 29, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the Iran-Israel conflict and restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in June 2026. These developments have curtailed Middle East production by more than 11 million barrels per day relative to pre-conflict levels, triggering sharp global inventory draws and supporting elevated spot prices near $85–$100 per barrel amid heightened volatility. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $105 per barrel in June and July under assumptions of sustained disruptions, though demand has contracted due to high fuel costs. Potential catalysts include progress on U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks or incremental Hormuz reopenings, which could ease supply constraints and pressure prices lower later in the quarter as inventories stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions