Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $50-60 billion raise for SpaceX's anticipated mid-2026 IPO at 37.4% implied probability, reflecting reports of $50-75 billion targets tied to a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's April confidential S-1 filing. Recent CNBC sourcing indicates an IPO prospectus could emerge as early as next week, accelerating timeline expectations and bolstering sentiment after December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $22-24 billion, fueled by subscriber growth and launch cadence, underpins the premium pricing, though traders assign lower odds to sub-$40 billion outcomes amid Brookfield's fresh $2 billion pre-IPO stake. Key watch: prospectus disclosures on share pricing and dilution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$138,944 交易量
$138,944 交易量
少於400億
12%
400-500億美元
6%
500-600億
38%
600-700 億
10%
700-800 億
23%
800-900億美元
19%
900億至1000億美元
6%
1,000-1,100億
4%
110-120億
4%
1200億以上
4%
$138,944 交易量
$138,944 交易量
少於400億
12%
400-500億美元
6%
500-600億
38%
600-700 億
10%
700-800 億
23%
800-900億美元
19%
900億至1000億美元
6%
1,000-1,100億
4%
110-120億
4%
1200億以上
4%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $50-60 billion raise for SpaceX's anticipated mid-2026 IPO at 37.4% implied probability, reflecting reports of $50-75 billion targets tied to a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's April confidential S-1 filing. Recent CNBC sourcing indicates an IPO prospectus could emerge as early as next week, accelerating timeline expectations and bolstering sentiment after December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $22-24 billion, fueled by subscriber growth and launch cadence, underpins the premium pricing, though traders assign lower odds to sub-$40 billion outcomes amid Brookfield's fresh $2 billion pre-IPO stake. Key watch: prospectus disclosures on share pricing and dilution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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