Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於600 億–700 億美元 100.0%
低於 500 億美元 <1%
500億–600億美元 <1%
700億–800億美元 <1%
$370,708 交易量
$370,708 交易量
2026-05-14
低於 500 億美元
否
500億–600億美元
否
600 億–700 億美元
是
700億–800億美元
否
800 億–900 億美元
否
900 億–1,000 億美元
否
1000 億美元以上
否
2026年7月前不進行IPO
否
600 億–700 億美元 100.0%
低於 500 億美元 <1%
500億–600億美元 <1%
700億–800億美元 <1%
$370,708 交易量
$370,708 交易量
2026-05-14
低於 500 億美元
$63,574 交易量
否
500億–600億美元
$33,039 交易量
否
600 億–700 億美元
$53,433 交易量
是
700億–800億美元
$30,446 交易量
否
800 億–900 億美元
$18,157 交易量
否
900 億–1,000 億美元
$60,701 交易量
否
1000 億美元以上
$90,348 交易量
否
2026年7月前不進行IPO
$21,009 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$370,708結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$370,708結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions