Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026 年 6 月 30 日前不上市 100.0%
800–1000億 <1%
小於800億 <1%
1000–1200 億 <1%
$270,942 交易量
$270,942 交易量
2026-06-30
小於800億
<1%
800–1000億
<1%
1000–1200 億
<1%
1,200–1,400 億
<1%
1,400 億以上
<1%
2026 年 6 月 30 日前不上市
100%
2026 年 6 月 30 日前不上市 100.0%
800–1000億 <1%
小於800億 <1%
1000–1200 億 <1%
$270,942 交易量
$270,942 交易量
2026-06-30
小於800億
$87,977 交易量
<1%
800–1000億
$24,264 交易量
<1%
1000–1200 億
$25,442 交易量
<1%
1,200–1,400 億
$40,361 交易量
<1%
1,400 億以上
$29,317 交易量
<1%
2026 年 6 月 30 日前不上市
$63,581 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
交易量
$270,942結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$270,942結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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