Riku Dining Group's stalled IPO process has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no listing before June 2026, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability. After withdrawing its initial F-1 filing and refiling on March 16, 2026, for an expanded 5 million share offering at $4–$6 per share targeting roughly $25–30 million in proceeds and an approximate $115 million midpoint market cap, the Cayman Islands-incorporated operator of Japanese restaurant concepts has seen no further SEC updates, roadshow activity, or effectiveness declarations. With the May 31 deadline now imminent and thin liquidity limiting price discovery, the sub-4% odds on specific closing ranges around 90–150 million simply echo pre-filing valuation estimates without fresh catalysts to shift them. A last-minute pricing window remains the only realistic path to altering these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.4%
90M–110M 2.4%
130M–150M 2.1%
$10,045 交易量
$10,045 交易量
2026-05-27
<90M
1%
90M–110M
2%
110M–130M
3%
130M–150M
2%
150M+
1%
No IPO before June 2026
90%
No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.4%
90M–110M 2.4%
130M–150M 2.1%
$10,045 交易量
$10,045 交易量
2026-05-27
<90M
$1,753 交易量
1%
90M–110M
$336 交易量
2%
110M–130M
$312 交易量
3%
130M–150M
$712 交易量
2%
150M+
$815 交易量
1%
No IPO before June 2026
$6,117 交易量
90%
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Riku Dining Group's stalled IPO process has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no listing before June 2026, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability. After withdrawing its initial F-1 filing and refiling on March 16, 2026, for an expanded 5 million share offering at $4–$6 per share targeting roughly $25–30 million in proceeds and an approximate $115 million midpoint market cap, the Cayman Islands-incorporated operator of Japanese restaurant concepts has seen no further SEC updates, roadshow activity, or effectiveness declarations. With the May 31 deadline now imminent and thin liquidity limiting price discovery, the sub-4% odds on specific closing ranges around 90–150 million simply echo pre-filing valuation estimates without fresh catalysts to shift them. A last-minute pricing window remains the only realistic path to altering these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$10,045結束日期
2026-05-27市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Riku Dining Group's stalled IPO process has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no listing before June 2026, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability. After withdrawing its initial F-1 filing and refiling on March 16, 2026, for an expanded 5 million share offering at $4–$6 per share targeting roughly $25–30 million in proceeds and an approximate $115 million midpoint market cap, the Cayman Islands-incorporated operator of Japanese restaurant concepts has seen no further SEC updates, roadshow activity, or effectiveness declarations. With the May 31 deadline now imminent and thin liquidity limiting price discovery, the sub-4% odds on specific closing ranges around 90–150 million simply echo pre-filing valuation estimates without fresh catalysts to shift them. A last-minute pricing window remains the only realistic path to altering these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$10,045結束日期
2026-05-27市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Riku Dining Group's stalled IPO process has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no listing before June 2026, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability. After withdrawing its initial F-1 filing and refiling on March 16, 2026, for an expanded 5 million share offering at $4–$6 per share targeting roughly $25–30 million in proceeds and an approximate $115 million midpoint market cap, the Cayman Islands-incorporated operator of Japanese restaurant concepts has seen no further SEC updates, roadshow activity, or effectiveness declarations. With the May 31 deadline now imminent and thin liquidity limiting price discovery, the sub-4% odds on specific closing ranges around 90–150 million simply echo pre-filing valuation estimates without fresh catalysts to shift them. A last-minute pricing window remains the only realistic path to altering these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions