Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 77%
低於150億 15.2%
150–200億 7.0%
250–300 億 5.7%
$888,774 交易量
$888,774 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
15%
150–200億
7%
200–250 億
1%
250–300 億
7%
300 億美元以上
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
77%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 77%
低於150億 15.2%
150–200億 7.0%
250–300 億 5.7%
$888,774 交易量
$888,774 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
$298,371 交易量
15%
150–200億
$109,394 交易量
7%
200–250 億
$74,392 交易量
1%
250–300 億
$112,896 交易量
7%
300 億美元以上
$100,250 交易量
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
$193,471 交易量
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$888,774結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$888,774結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions