Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus firm security guarantees, citing legal barriers under ongoing martial law. That law, extended through early August 2026, prohibits elections and referendums absent such conditions. U.S.-backed talks in Geneva and elsewhere produced no framework acceptable to both sides by mid-2026, while recent Ukrainian proposals for direct Putin engagement have not advanced scheduling. Traders therefore see limited near-term prospects for a scheduled vote, with constitutional requirements, territorial disputes, and frontline fighting continuing to constrain movement toward a referendum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$485,216 Vol.
June 30
<1%
September 30
8%
December 31
12%
$485,216 Vol.
June 30
<1%
September 30
8%
December 31
12%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus firm security guarantees, citing legal barriers under ongoing martial law. That law, extended through early August 2026, prohibits elections and referendums absent such conditions. U.S.-backed talks in Geneva and elsewhere produced no framework acceptable to both sides by mid-2026, while recent Ukrainian proposals for direct Putin engagement have not advanced scheduling. Traders therefore see limited near-term prospects for a scheduled vote, with constitutional requirements, territorial disputes, and frontline fighting continuing to constrain movement toward a referendum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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