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icon for 梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?

梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?

icon for 梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?

梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?

35% 概率
Polymarket
最新
35% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The enduring rivalry between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, marked by decades of club and international competition without close personal rapport, underpins trader consensus favoring no handshake at 70% implied probability. Historical encounters, including documented refusals in high-stakes matches, reflect a pattern of minimal off-field interaction despite mutual respect on the pitch. With both players set for record sixth World Cup appearances in 2026—potentially their final major tournament—the bracket's structure and individual team paths add uncertainty around any direct meeting. Recent form and national team preparations emphasize competitive focus over gestures, aligning with market pricing that views a cordial exchange as unlikely amid the tournament's intensity.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$205
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The enduring rivalry between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, marked by decades of club and international competition without close personal rapport, underpins trader consensus favoring no handshake at 70% implied probability. Historical encounters, including documented refusals in high-stakes matches, reflect a pattern of minimal off-field interaction despite mutual respect on the pitch. With both players set for record sixth World Cup appearances in 2026—potentially their final major tournament—the bracket's structure and individual team paths add uncertainty around any direct meeting. Recent form and national team preparations emphasize competitive focus over gestures, aligning with market pricing that views a cordial exchange as unlikely amid the tournament's intensity.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$205
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 30%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 30%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?"的当前概率为 30%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 30%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"梅西和罗纳尔多会在世界杯期间握手吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。