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運動·錦標賽期貨

世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量

icon for 世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量
運動·錦標賽期貨

世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量

最新
2026-07-20
Polymarket

$17 交易量

Polymarket

1+ matches

$6 交易量

92%

2+ matches

$1 交易量

87%

3+ matches

$0 交易量

84%

4+ matches

$0 交易量

81%

5+ matches

$0 交易量

78%

6+ matches

$10 交易量

60%

7+ matches

$0 交易量

60%

8+ matches

$0 交易量

59%

9+ matches

$0 交易量

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup features 104 total matches and a larger knockout bracket with a round of 32, creating substantially more opportunities for contests to reach extra time and penalties than in previous 32-team tournaments. Penalty shootouts remain limited to knockout stages after 120 minutes, as FIFA's earlier consideration of group-stage shootouts to settle draws did not take effect. Historical precedent shows variability, with a record five shootouts in 2022 amid strong parity, while earlier editions averaged fewer. Key drivers include the depth of the 48-team field, tactical caution in high-stakes elimination games, and the potential for upsets or defensive setups among evenly matched sides. Recent pre-tournament preparations and the opening matches provide limited new signals, leaving outcomes dependent on how the bracket unfolds over the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup features 104 total matches and a larger knockout bracket with a round of 32, creating substantially more opportunities for contests to reach extra time and penalties than in previous 32-team tournaments. Penalty shootouts remain limited to knockout stages after 120 minutes, as FIFA's earlier consideration of group-stage shootouts to settle draws did not take effect. Historical precedent shows variability, with a record five shootouts in 2022 amid strong parity, while earlier editions averaged fewer. Key drivers include the depth of the 48-team field, tactical caution in high-stakes elimination games, and the potential for upsets or defensive setups among evenly matched sides. Recent pre-tournament preparations and the opening matches provide limited new signals, leaving outcomes dependent on how the bracket unfolds over the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1+ matches" at 92%, followed by "2+ matches" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量" is "1+ matches" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2+ matches" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：由點球大戰決定的比賽數量" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.