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icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique)
Sports·MLB

2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique)

icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique)
Sports·MLB

2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique)

Bryce Harper 47.9%

Willson Contreras 0

Ben Rice 0

Junior Caminero 0

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bryce Harper 47.9%

Willson Contreras 0

Ben Rice 0

Junior Caminero 0

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bryce Harper

$46 Vol.

48%

Willson Contreras

$27 Vol.

-

Ben Rice

$27 Vol.

-

Junior Caminero

$43 Vol.

-

Jac Caglianone

$27 Vol.

-

Jordan Walker

$46 Vol.

-

icon for Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber

$34 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.

If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
13 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.

If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
13 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ben Rice » à 49%, suivi de « Junior Caminero » à 49%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique) » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 10, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique) », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique) » est « Ben Rice » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Junior Caminero » à 49%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « 2026 MLB Home Run Derby : Joueur avec le plus de HR (tour unique) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.