Traders assign a 95.7% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap above $600 billion because its May 2026 Series H round valued the company at $965 billion post-money amid $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue and strong Claude large language model adoption. The confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with banker-led preparations for an October or November 2026 listing and investor projections reaching $2 trillion, has reinforced expectations of a record AI debut. Competitive positioning against other frontier labs, sustained enterprise demand, and hyperscaler backing further anchor this consensus. A sharp market correction, delayed regulatory approvals, or material revenue shortfalls could still compress the outcome, though current capital allocation reflects limited odds of those scenarios materializing before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour600 milliards+ 95.6%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 3.1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
300–400 Mds <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
<1%
100–200 Md$
<1%
200–300 Md$
<1%
300–400 Mds
<1%
400–600 Md$
1%
600 milliards+
96%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
3%
600 milliards+ 95.6%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 3.1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
300–400 Mds <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
$156,438 Vol.
<1%
100–200 Md$
$72,886 Vol.
<1%
200–300 Md$
$19,764 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Mds
$69,792 Vol.
<1%
400–600 Md$
$22,147 Vol.
1%
600 milliards+
$46,283 Vol.
96%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$33,273 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.7% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap above $600 billion because its May 2026 Series H round valued the company at $965 billion post-money amid $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue and strong Claude large language model adoption. The confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with banker-led preparations for an October or November 2026 listing and investor projections reaching $2 trillion, has reinforced expectations of a record AI debut. Competitive positioning against other frontier labs, sustained enterprise demand, and hyperscaler backing further anchor this consensus. A sharp market correction, delayed regulatory approvals, or material revenue shortfalls could still compress the outcome, though current capital allocation reflects limited odds of those scenarios materializing before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$420,582Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.7% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap above $600 billion because its May 2026 Series H round valued the company at $965 billion post-money amid $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue and strong Claude large language model adoption. The confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with banker-led preparations for an October or November 2026 listing and investor projections reaching $2 trillion, has reinforced expectations of a record AI debut. Competitive positioning against other frontier labs, sustained enterprise demand, and hyperscaler backing further anchor this consensus. A sharp market correction, delayed regulatory approvals, or material revenue shortfalls could still compress the outcome, though current capital allocation reflects limited odds of those scenarios materializing before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$420,582Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 95.7% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap above $600 billion because its May 2026 Series H round valued the company at $965 billion post-money amid $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue and strong Claude large language model adoption. The confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with banker-led preparations for an October or November 2026 listing and investor projections reaching $2 trillion, has reinforced expectations of a record AI debut. Competitive positioning against other frontier labs, sustained enterprise demand, and hyperscaler backing further anchor this consensus. A sharp market correction, delayed regulatory approvals, or material revenue shortfalls could still compress the outcome, though current capital allocation reflects limited odds of those scenarios materializing before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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