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icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

6% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
6% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The bill known as AB 2624 remains in the early stages of the California legislative process, having cleared only initial Assembly committees by late April 2026. It still requires a full floor vote in the Assembly, passage through the Senate with its own committee reviews and votes, and final approval by Governor Gavin Newsom. With the June 30 deadline just weeks away, the standard timeline for these steps makes enactment before then highly improbable. Opposition from Republican lawmakers, who have labeled it the “Stop Nick Shirley Act” over concerns about limits on public disclosure of immigration service provider information, further complicates prospects for rapid advancement. No special session or expedited procedures have been announced to alter that path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$460
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The bill known as AB 2624 remains in the early stages of the California legislative process, having cleared only initial Assembly committees by late April 2026. It still requires a full floor vote in the Assembly, passage through the Senate with its own committee reviews and votes, and final approval by Governor Gavin Newsom. With the June 30 deadline just weeks away, the standard timeline for these steps makes enactment before then highly improbable. Opposition from Republican lawmakers, who have labeled it the “Stop Nick Shirley Act” over concerns about limits on public disclosure of immigration service provider information, further complicates prospects for rapid advancement. No special session or expedited procedures have been announced to alter that path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$460
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 6% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 6¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 6% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 16, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? » est de 6% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 6% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.