Recent procedural blocks have solidified trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for 2026 tax years, will persist through December 31, 2026. The House Rules Committee's rejection of the FAIR BET Act and stalled progress on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Industry lobbying, including direct appeals to the administration, has not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion, while divided congressional dynamics and upcoming midterm pressures limit windows for targeted tax relief. This environment supports the current 64.5% implied probability against repeal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent procedural blocks have solidified trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for 2026 tax years, will persist through December 31, 2026. The House Rules Committee's rejection of the FAIR BET Act and stalled progress on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Industry lobbying, including direct appeals to the administration, has not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion, while divided congressional dynamics and upcoming midterm pressures limit windows for targeted tax relief. This environment supports the current 64.5% implied probability against repeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$68,293Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent procedural blocks have solidified trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for 2026 tax years, will persist through December 31, 2026. The House Rules Committee's rejection of the FAIR BET Act and stalled progress on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Industry lobbying, including direct appeals to the administration, has not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion, while divided congressional dynamics and upcoming midterm pressures limit windows for targeted tax relief. This environment supports the current 64.5% implied probability against repeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$68,293Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent procedural blocks have solidified trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for 2026 tax years, will persist through December 31, 2026. The House Rules Committee's rejection of the FAIR BET Act and stalled progress on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Industry lobbying, including direct appeals to the administration, has not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion, while divided congressional dynamics and upcoming midterm pressures limit windows for targeted tax relief. This environment supports the current 64.5% implied probability against repeal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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