Trump administration discussions in August 2026 centered on targeted capital gains adjustments, such as expanding home-sale exclusions or indexing gains to inflation, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and advisor Larry Kudlow ahead of the November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no formal legislative push or rate reduction advanced through Congress. Limited remaining session days before the elections, combined with competing priorities in the Republican agenda and fiscal constraints, have narrowed prospects for broader long-term capital gains tax cuts. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act addressed other tax provisions earlier in the cycle, but did not include rate reductions on investment gains. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to no change occurring before 2027, reflecting the absence of confirmed legislative momentum or executive action on this specific policy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
14% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
14% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration discussions in August 2026 centered on targeted capital gains adjustments, such as expanding home-sale exclusions or indexing gains to inflation, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and advisor Larry Kudlow ahead of the November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no formal legislative push or rate reduction advanced through Congress. Limited remaining session days before the elections, combined with competing priorities in the Republican agenda and fiscal constraints, have narrowed prospects for broader long-term capital gains tax cuts. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act addressed other tax provisions earlier in the cycle, but did not include rate reductions on investment gains. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to no change occurring before 2027, reflecting the absence of confirmed legislative momentum or executive action on this specific policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,245Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration discussions in August 2026 centered on targeted capital gains adjustments, such as expanding home-sale exclusions or indexing gains to inflation, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and advisor Larry Kudlow ahead of the November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no formal legislative push or rate reduction advanced through Congress. Limited remaining session days before the elections, combined with competing priorities in the Republican agenda and fiscal constraints, have narrowed prospects for broader long-term capital gains tax cuts. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act addressed other tax provisions earlier in the cycle, but did not include rate reductions on investment gains. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to no change occurring before 2027, reflecting the absence of confirmed legislative momentum or executive action on this specific policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,245Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Trump administration discussions in August 2026 centered on targeted capital gains adjustments, such as expanding home-sale exclusions or indexing gains to inflation, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and advisor Larry Kudlow ahead of the November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no formal legislative push or rate reduction advanced through Congress. Limited remaining session days before the elections, combined with competing priorities in the Republican agenda and fiscal constraints, have narrowed prospects for broader long-term capital gains tax cuts. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act addressed other tax provisions earlier in the cycle, but did not include rate reductions on investment gains. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to no change occurring before 2027, reflecting the absence of confirmed legislative momentum or executive action on this specific policy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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