The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,576Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,576Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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