Republican control of Congress enabled enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions while adding targeted manufacturing relief. These measures delivered substantial corporate tax relief effective for 2025–2026 tax years without altering the 21% statutory rate. No subsequent legislation or administration proposals have advanced a further rate reduction or major new corporate cuts. With legislative focus shifting toward tariffs, appropriations, and other priorities, traders assign only a 6.5% implied probability to additional corporate tax cuts materializing before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Republican control of Congress enabled enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions while adding targeted manufacturing relief. These measures delivered substantial corporate tax relief effective for 2025–2026 tax years without altering the 21% statutory rate. No subsequent legislation or administration proposals have advanced a further rate reduction or major new corporate cuts. With legislative focus shifting toward tariffs, appropriations, and other priorities, traders assign only a 6.5% implied probability to additional corporate tax cuts materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,994Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Republican control of Congress enabled enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions while adding targeted manufacturing relief. These measures delivered substantial corporate tax relief effective for 2025–2026 tax years without altering the 21% statutory rate. No subsequent legislation or administration proposals have advanced a further rate reduction or major new corporate cuts. With legislative focus shifting toward tariffs, appropriations, and other priorities, traders assign only a 6.5% implied probability to additional corporate tax cuts materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,994Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of Congress enabled enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions while adding targeted manufacturing relief. These measures delivered substantial corporate tax relief effective for 2025–2026 tax years without altering the 21% statutory rate. No subsequent legislation or administration proposals have advanced a further rate reduction or major new corporate cuts. With legislative focus shifting toward tariffs, appropriations, and other priorities, traders assign only a 6.5% implied probability to additional corporate tax cuts materializing before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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