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icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

750.0k+ 44%

700.0-750.0k 15.1%

650.0-700.0k 12.8%

500.0-550.0k 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

750.0k+ 44%

700.0-750.0k 15.1%

650.0-700.0k 12.8%

500.0-550.0k 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<500.0k

$883 Vol.

6%

500.0-550.0k

$379 Vol.

12%

550.0-600.0k

$446 Vol.

11%

600.0-650.0k

$388 Vol.

12%

650.0-700.0k

$577 Vol.

13%

700.0-750.0k

$694 Vol.

15%

750.0k+

$651 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$4,012
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$4,012
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

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Questions fréquentes

« Claude Code Commits End of June? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 750.0k+ » à 44%, suivi de « 700.0-750.0k » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Claude Code Commits End of June? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 26, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Claude Code Commits End of June? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Claude Code Commits End of June? » est « 750.0k+ » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 700.0-750.0k » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Claude Code Commits End of June? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.