The tightly clustered probabilities around 48–50% for dozens of riders reflect the open nature of the ADAC Cyclassics, a flat WorldTour classic in Hamburg that typically resolves in a bunch sprint or reduced group finish on August 16. With 18 UCI WorldTeams confirmed and strong sprinters such as Jonathan Milan, Jasper Philipsen, Mads Pedersen, and Sam Welsford alongside versatile classics riders like Wout van Aert and Mathieu van der Poel, the outcome hinges on final lineups, last-minute form, and positioning in the peloton. No dominant pre-race favorite has emerged because team selections remain fluid and the parcours offers realistic chances for multiple fast finishers, keeping implied probabilities compressed across the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFlorian Lipowitz 98%
Juan Ayuso 98%
Mattias Skjelmose 97%
Paul Seixas 96%
Florian Lipowitz
98%
Juan Ayuso
98%
Mattias Skjelmose
97%
Paul Seixas
96%
Tobias Johannessen
96%
Pello Bilbao
96%
Felix Gall
93%
Lenny Martinez
92%
Jonas Vingegaard
92%
Isaac Del Toro
86%
Jonathan Milan
54%
Tobias Lund Andresen
50%
Jasper Philipsen
50%
Wout van Aert
50%
Brady Gilmore
50%
Christophe Laporte
50%
Mads Pedersen
50%
Laurence Pithie
50%
Sam Welsford
50%
Mauro Schmid
50%
Ben Tulett
50%
Thomas Pidcock
50%
Jasper Stuyven
50%
Romain Gregoire
50%
Matthew Brennan
50%
Remco Evenepoel
49%
Florian Vermeersch
48%
Tadej Pogacar
48%
Mathieu van der Poel
48%
Richard Carapaz
3%
Florian Lipowitz 98%
Juan Ayuso 98%
Mattias Skjelmose 97%
Paul Seixas 96%
Florian Lipowitz
98%
Juan Ayuso
98%
Mattias Skjelmose
97%
Paul Seixas
96%
Tobias Johannessen
96%
Pello Bilbao
96%
Felix Gall
93%
Lenny Martinez
92%
Jonas Vingegaard
92%
Isaac Del Toro
86%
Jonathan Milan
54%
Tobias Lund Andresen
50%
Jasper Philipsen
50%
Wout van Aert
50%
Brady Gilmore
50%
Christophe Laporte
50%
Mads Pedersen
50%
Laurence Pithie
50%
Sam Welsford
50%
Mauro Schmid
50%
Ben Tulett
50%
Thomas Pidcock
50%
Jasper Stuyven
50%
Romain Gregoire
50%
Matthew Brennan
50%
Remco Evenepoel
49%
Florian Vermeersch
48%
Tadej Pogacar
48%
Mathieu van der Poel
48%
Richard Carapaz
3%
If the 2026 ADAC Cyclassics is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uci.orgResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 ADAC Cyclassics is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.uci.orgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around 48–50% for dozens of riders reflect the open nature of the ADAC Cyclassics, a flat WorldTour classic in Hamburg that typically resolves in a bunch sprint or reduced group finish on August 16. With 18 UCI WorldTeams confirmed and strong sprinters such as Jonathan Milan, Jasper Philipsen, Mads Pedersen, and Sam Welsford alongside versatile classics riders like Wout van Aert and Mathieu van der Poel, the outcome hinges on final lineups, last-minute form, and positioning in the peloton. No dominant pre-race favorite has emerged because team selections remain fluid and the parcours offers realistic chances for multiple fast finishers, keeping implied probabilities compressed across the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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