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icon for Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?
Géopolitique·Hegseth

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

icon for Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?
Géopolitique·Hegseth

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

45% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
45% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Army Secretary Dan Driscoll's continued service through mid-May 2026, including recent testimony before the House and Senate Armed Services Committees on the fiscal 2027 budget request amid ongoing Iran-related tensions, has reinforced trader expectations that he will remain in office past June 30. Earlier reports of friction with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over Pentagon leadership decisions and promotions prompted April speculation about his departure, yet Driscoll issued direct statements affirming no plans to resign, backed by White House praise for his performance. These developments, combined with his active role in Army modernization and readiness initiatives since his 2025 confirmation, have shaped the modest edge for the "No" outcome in the prediction market. No formal announcements or procedural steps toward removal have emerged in the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Army Secretary Dan Driscoll's continued service through mid-May 2026, including recent testimony before the House and Senate Armed Services Committees on the fiscal 2027 budget request amid ongoing Iran-related tensions, has reinforced trader expectations that he will remain in office past June 30. Earlier reports of friction with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over Pentagon leadership decisions and promotions prompted April speculation about his departure, yet Driscoll issued direct statements affirming no plans to resign, backed by White House praise for his performance. These developments, combined with his active role in Army modernization and readiness initiatives since his 2025 confirmation, have shaped the modest edge for the "No" outcome in the prediction market. No formal announcements or procedural steps toward removal have emerged in the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 45% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 45¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 20, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? » est de 45% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 45% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.