Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead Pentagon operations and congressional testimony on the administration’s $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 budget request and ongoing military commitments, including cost estimates for the Iran conflict that recently rose to $29 billion. Recent hearings before House and Senate appropriations panels showed bipartisan scrutiny but no indications of personnel changes at the top, while internal staff adjustments and command transitions remain confined to lower levels. With only six weeks until the June 30 resolution date and no public statements from the White House or Senate leadership signaling a shift, trader consensus assigns a 94 percent probability that Hegseth will retain the position through the deadline. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected resignation could still alter this outlook, though none have surfaced.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$142,870 Vol.
$142,870 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$142,870 Vol.
$142,870 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead Pentagon operations and congressional testimony on the administration’s $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 budget request and ongoing military commitments, including cost estimates for the Iran conflict that recently rose to $29 billion. Recent hearings before House and Senate appropriations panels showed bipartisan scrutiny but no indications of personnel changes at the top, while internal staff adjustments and command transitions remain confined to lower levels. With only six weeks until the June 30 resolution date and no public statements from the White House or Senate leadership signaling a shift, trader consensus assigns a 94 percent probability that Hegseth will retain the position through the deadline. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected resignation could still alter this outlook, though none have surfaced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$142,870Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead Pentagon operations and congressional testimony on the administration’s $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 budget request and ongoing military commitments, including cost estimates for the Iran conflict that recently rose to $29 billion. Recent hearings before House and Senate appropriations panels showed bipartisan scrutiny but no indications of personnel changes at the top, while internal staff adjustments and command transitions remain confined to lower levels. With only six weeks until the June 30 resolution date and no public statements from the White House or Senate leadership signaling a shift, trader consensus assigns a 94 percent probability that Hegseth will retain the position through the deadline. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected resignation could still alter this outlook, though none have surfaced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$142,870Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead Pentagon operations and congressional testimony on the administration’s $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 budget request and ongoing military commitments, including cost estimates for the Iran conflict that recently rose to $29 billion. Recent hearings before House and Senate appropriations panels showed bipartisan scrutiny but no indications of personnel changes at the top, while internal staff adjustments and command transitions remain confined to lower levels. With only six weeks until the June 30 resolution date and no public statements from the White House or Senate leadership signaling a shift, trader consensus assigns a 94 percent probability that Hegseth will retain the position through the deadline. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected resignation could still alter this outlook, though none have surfaced.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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