**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleure série de variétés
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 78%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.4%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 4.0%
« Saturday Night Live » 3.0%
$90,464 Vol.
$90,464 Vol.
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
78%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
7%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
4%
« Saturday Night Live »
11%
« The Daily Show »
2%
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 78%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.4%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 4.0%
« Saturday Night Live » 3.0%
$90,464 Vol.
$90,464 Vol.
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
78%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
7%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
4%
« Saturday Night Live »
11%
« The Daily Show »
2%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes