The Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep that included best competition series and host honors for Alan Cumming. Peacock’s high-concept format continues to earn strong critical reception and multiple Creative Arts nominations, reinforcing its recent momentum over long-running competitors. Survivor’s Season 50 milestone and Dancing with the Stars’ return after a decade-long absence generate some late interest, yet historical Academy patterns favor repeat winners with proven guild and precursor support. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, an upset would require an unprecedented voter shift toward established broadcast entries despite The Traitors’ entrenched advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Série réalité/compétition exceptionnelle
« Les Traîtres » 92.0%
« Survivor » 5.0%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race » 2.9%
« Dancing with the Stars » 2.1%
$28,253 Vol.
$28,253 Vol.
« Les Traîtres »
92%
« Survivor »
5%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race »
3%
« Dancing with the Stars »
2%
« Top Chef »
1%
« Les Traîtres » 92.0%
« Survivor » 5.0%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race » 2.9%
« Dancing with the Stars » 2.1%
$28,253 Vol.
$28,253 Vol.
« Les Traîtres »
92%
« Survivor »
5%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race »
3%
« Dancing with the Stars »
2%
« Top Chef »
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, driven by its back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 plus a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep that included best competition series and host honors for Alan Cumming. Peacock’s high-concept format continues to earn strong critical reception and multiple Creative Arts nominations, reinforcing its recent momentum over long-running competitors. Survivor’s Season 50 milestone and Dancing with the Stars’ return after a decade-long absence generate some late interest, yet historical Academy patterns favor repeat winners with proven guild and precursor support. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, an upset would require an unprecedented voter shift toward established broadcast entries despite The Traitors’ entrenched advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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